future studies of water crisis in iran based on processing scenario
نویسندگان
چکیده
according to studies by 2050 more than 15 percent of world people, most of them are in the middle east and africa will experience severe water crisis. future water crisis is one of the most potential for international conflict and security challenges that have the potential to become a major international crisis. iran as a country with abundant water stress and is located in the critical regional middle east, faced with the worrying prospect, that if do not set the correct management and favorable domestic and international policies for the future, will be environmental crises, political, social, economic and even military - security inside and outside the political boundaries. aspects and consequences of the crisis could challenge the country's independence and territorial integrity. therefore, it is essential to recognize the consequences and how to manage them. the most accurate and the best way to know the future events, scripting, which in this study based on the main drivers water issue in iran: 1) population growth, 2) growing demand for consumption and 3) climate change, the drivers is extracted based on delphi method and the panel of experts, four possible scenarios could be discussed. the four scenarios include: 1) iran is unsafe; escalation of the crisis, 2) defuse the crisis, 3) the postponement of the crisis in the short term, 4) the postponement of the crisis in the long term. by postulating each of these scenarios, can be a precise roadmap and strategy for correct management and reasonable facing a water crisis for coming years, prepared and placed on the agenda of organizations and institutions.
منابع مشابه
the impact of e-readiness on ec success in public sector in iran the impact of e-readiness on ec success in public sector in iran
acknowledge the importance of e-commerce to their countries and to survival of their businesses and in creating and encouraging an atmosphere for the wide adoption and success of e-commerce in the long term. the investment for implementing e-commerce in the public sector is one of the areas which is focused in government‘s action plan for cross-disciplinary it development and e-readiness in go...
Strategies for the Future of Medicine in Iran Based on a Scenario Planning
Background: The rapid and increasing growth of technology in the artificial intelligence era and its impact on fundamentals changes in the development of science including biomedicine and health presents a need for the future studies in medical sciences. This project is striving to provide a desirable model based on authentic forecasting models in order to clarify the probable and uncertain fut...
متن کاملthe comparative impact of prompts and recasts in processing instruction versus meaningful output-based instruction on efl learners’ writing accuracy
the purpose of the present study was to see which one of the two instruction-processing instruction (pi) and meaningful output based instruction (mobi) accompanied with prompt and recast- is more effective on efl learners’ writing accuracy. in order to homogenize the participants in term of language proficiency a preliminary english test (pet) was administrated between 74 intermediate students ...
Future studies and scenario planning for health services development in Makran coastal Region
متن کامل
simulation and experimental studies for prediction mineral scale formation in oil field during mixing of injection and formation water
abstract: mineral scaling in oil and gas production equipment is one of the most important problem that occurs while water injection and it has been recognized to be a major operational problem. the incompatibility between injected and formation waters may result in inorganic scale precipitation in the equipment and reservoir and then reduction of oil production rate and water injection rate. ...
A Review of Studies on Mindfulness-based Interventions in Iran
During last years, a growing body of research has been conducted into mindfulness-based therapies. This review aimed to examine the impact of mindfulness-based interventions upon the Iranian. Therefore, in the literature reviews from 1391 to 1397, the mentioned treatment was the main one. Then, upon detailed investigation of the studies, some recommendations is offered in order to improve metho...
متن کاملمنابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
اکو هیدرولوژیجلد ۳، شماره ۱، صفحات ۱-۱۷
کلمات کلیدی
میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com
copyright © 2015-2023